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Post-Election Chaos: What to Expect After November 5
Is the fear of post-election violence justified, or is it simply overblown?
Kartik Vyas
October 31, 2024
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After the Votes: Anticipating Chaos in a Divided Nation
As Election Day approaches, both campaigns are preparing for legal battles over potential disputes like challenges to certification.
Considering the 2020 election’s aftermath, many even anticipate political violence.
Could the current rhetoric over post-election chaos be mere fear-mongering?
Let’s explore the scenarios that could actually unfold.
Legal Challenges Over Election Results
Both campaigns are gearing up for legal battles that could unfold immediately after the election results are announced:
Hundreds of election-related lawsuits have created a complex legal landscape well before votes are counted.
These lawsuits are focused on voter eligibility, particularly challenging mail-in ballots and the qualifications of non-citizen voters.
Certification delays could also lead to extended legal battles in swing states.
The Electoral Count Reform Act of 2022 raised the threshold for objections to electoral votes, requiring support from one-fifth of each chamber in Congress.
This may reduce federal disputes but leave room for state-level legal challenges to persist longer.
Fear of Political Violence
A Quinnipiac University poll reveals that 73% of likely voters are concerned about politically motivated violence. Democrats show greater concern (90%) than Republicans (59%).
US Intelligence Officials are also actively monitoring groups that could incite violence, especially threats from foreign actors.
Swing states with close margins may see protests or disruptions, especially if results are disputed or if certification is delayed.
It works because Americans are so deeply divided and conditioned at this point that if the other side “wins” everything is going to go to catastrophic shit
— GEN (@justaskgen)
3:17 PM • Oct 30, 2024
How Both Campaigns Are Preparing for Legal Battles
Each campaign has mobilized extensive legal resources, prepared for potential challenges that could reshape the election’s outcome:
Republican Preparations
Republicans have already filed more than 100 lawsuits focused on voter eligibility, particularly challenging mail-in ballots and the qualifications of non-citizen voters.
The Republican National Convention has also mobilized 165,000 volunteers to watch the polls for irregularities in voter registration and ballot counting processes.
Democratic Preparations
Democrats are countering GOP lawsuits with their volunteers and legal teams to monitor polling places and ensure compliance with voting laws.
Legal experts affiliated with the Harris campaign are prepared for immediate action in case of any disputes over election results.
The Role of Vulnerable States in Post-Election Tensions
Certain swing states, with recent legislative changes, are seen as particularly vulnerable to post-election conflict:
States like Georgia, Arizona, and Pennsylvania are crucial for their historical significance in determining election outcomes. This leads to heightened scrutiny and potential for legal challenges.
In the 2020 election, several key states were decided by razor-thin margins. For instance, Biden won Georgia by just 11,779 votes.
Such close contests raise the stakes for both parties, making them more likely to contest results vigorously.
The contentious aftermath of the 2020 election established a precedent where local officials in these states faced immense pressure to either certify or delay results.
The legal landscape in these states is also critical. The ongoing legal battles can create confusion and lead to disputes over their implementation.
Our Thoughts
As we’re nearing the election, the preparations by both campaigns show the uncertainties of a closely contested result.
Both sides are strengthening their legal strategies, while law enforcement braces for potential unrest.
But the question remains: are these preparations a necessary measure or a reflection of a divided nation?
Community:
Do you think post-election chaos is a real threat this year? |
📊 Last Week’s Poll: Do you think America should do away with its current Electoral College system?
“It probably shouldn't be the case that a single voter can decide who gets all of a states electoral votes. “
“No, BUT should the Electors' votes be by proportional-representation (instead of winner-takes-all)? YES! ALSO, "Yes!" to multi-party anti-gerrymandering State-commissions, ranked-choice-voting, and Election Day as a holiday!“
“I think all the states should copy Nebraska and Maine’s method.“
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